FMFX

Cable At Multi-Month Lows

The GBP/USD broke out today to new multi-month lows below the 1.5921 support at 1.5864. Price, then, bounced and retraced to as high as 1.5936 capped by the 38.2% Fibonacci level at 1.5941. Now into the New York close, cable has resumed its downward momentum with price back below the 1.5900 whole number.

We mentioned at the start of the week on Sunday 3 important things:

1. that as long as 1.5920 support held expect the GBP/USD to rally back towards 1.6100. Cable made a decent attempt with today’s high at 1.6066 when price made a low yesterday above support at 1.5931.
2. that it would be non-scheduled announcements that would move the markets this week. JP Morgan’s announcement stopped the GBP/USD correction rally dead in its track spurring the reversal back in the direction of the LT down trend. In addition, worries about credit quality out of Abu Dubai fueled risk aversion thus keeping the pressure on the currency pair.
3. that if support at 1.5920 was broken, then retracement was over and expect a breakout to the downside. Cable broke out 54 pips before finding support at the lows with little regard for the 1.5920 support level. Looking at the above hourly charts, the GBP/USD slid 148 pips in 2 hours.

With price staying and closing below 1.5920, now previous support, cable now targets the 1.5801 ST on its way to completing the quarter to 1.5750.

1. faithmight reblogged this from fmfx and added:

   With fundamentals...technicals aligned right now and price remaining 75

2. fmfx posted this